EARNED VALUE

EARNED VALUE FOR CONSTRUCTION SUBCONTRACTORS, SIMPLIFIED AND PRACTICAL.

QUICK ANSWER

Earned value isn't a government contract idea. It's the practice of measuring whether a job is spending money in proportion to the value it's producing. A job 60% complete that has spent 75% of the budget has earned $360K of value while spending $450K, which is $90K of overrun you can see today instead of at closeout. The simplified form takes physical percent complete times contract value and compares it to actual cost, so it runs on two numbers.

Most subcontractors track what they spend and never set it against how much work is standing in the field. That's why the overrun turns up at closeout, when there's nothing left to do about it. The comparison you want runs the other direction: take the physical completion the crew reports, multiply it by contract value, and put that against the cost in your closed books. If the cost side is bigger, the job is buying less production per dollar than the estimate assumed, and every remaining foot of work will carry the same premium until something changes.

BY JOSH LUEBKERPublished 2026-08-06Updated 2026-08-07
THE DEFINITION

WHAT IT MEANS.

Earned value is the practice of measuring project progress in dollars of value earned rather than dollars of cost spent.

Three figures drive the whole calculation. Planned value is what the completed work was supposed to cost. Earned value is the contract value of the work that's finished. Actual cost is what got spent producing that scope. Earned value above actual cost means the crew is producing more value per dollar than the estimate assumed, and actual cost above earned value means the reverse. The distance between planned value and earned value is where you stand on schedule.

Earned value is also the idea sitting underneath the WIP schedule, which is why the two always agree when both are built right. The earned to date column in the WIP is the earned value calculation with a different label on it. The overbilling or underbilling position is the comparison between billed to date and earned to date, and nothing more complicated than that.

WHAT THE COST REPORT DOES NOT SHOW

WHY THE OVERRUN SURFACES LATE.

01

Spending gets tracked and production doesn't

A cost report tells you what left the bank. It doesn't tell you how much of the contract the crew has already put in place. Without both sides of that comparison, an overrun stays invisible until the job closes and the final numbers post, and by then the scope is built and the only thing left to argue over is a change order nobody documented.

02

Billing percent complete gets mistaken for physical percent complete

These are two different percentages and they rarely agree. Billing percent complete is what you've billed against contract value, while earned value percent complete is how much of the work the crew has physically installed. On a front loaded schedule of values, billing can read 40% while the job is 28% built, and that spread is the overbilling position in your WIP rather than a sign of a job running ahead.

03

The cost to complete gets priced off the estimate instead of current performance

Most cost to complete reports take the remaining scope and price it at the original estimate, which assumes without saying so that the crew will suddenly perform better than it has all job long. If the job is running at 0.88 cost efficiency, then $200K of remaining estimated cost will really cost $227K to finish. Pricing the remainder at the efficiency the job is producing right now gets you a finish number you can plan against.

THE ARITHMETIC

WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE IN DOLLARS.

The simplified calculation

Physical percent complete times contract value equals dollars earned, and dollars earned gets compared to dollars spent. A job 65% complete on a $600K contract has earned $390,000 and has spent $430,000, so it's $40,000 over. With 35% of the scope still to build, that job has to recover the $40,000 and deliver the rest at estimated cost just to break even.

Efficiency projected forward

Divide earned value by actual cost and you get the efficiency the job is running at. A job that earned $390K while spending $443K is running at 0.88, which is 88 cents of value for every dollar spent. Apply 0.88 to the scope that's left and the overrun at completion becomes a calculation off current performance rather than a hopeful estimate.

HOW TO RUN IT MONTHLY

THE FOUR STEPS, IN ORDER.

Step one, physical percent complete from the field

The percentage comes from the field, not from the cost report. You count units placed, phases finished, and milestones hit, then divide by total scope. A cost based percentage is circular, because it uses spending to measure production and then turns around and compares the answer to spending.

Step two, earned value from contract value

Multiply the physical percent complete by contract value and you have dollars earned to date. That single figure is what the whole comparison rests on. It takes about a minute once the field number is written down, which is why there's no good excuse for skipping it.

Step three, compare it against actual cost from closed books

Actual cost comes out of the monthly close, not out of a running guess or a stack of unentered invoices. Set it against earned value and the difference is the cost performance of that job stated in dollars. Books that close every month are what make this comparison possible at all.

Step four, project the trend forward

Take the efficiency the job is running at and apply it to the scope that's still to build. That turns a mid job overrun into a projected finish number instead of a fact you learn later. A finish number is the whole point, because it's the only form of this information you can still act on.

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PRICING

FLAT MONTHLY FEE. NO SURPRISES.

Three tiers, priced by your trailing twelve month revenue. Which one you're in depends on how much of the work you want off your desk. No hourly billing, no payroll, and no add-ons.

Last 12 months revenueMonthly fee
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$1M to $3.5M$2,600 to $3,900
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Range reflects the three tiers below. Which one you're in depends on how much of the work you want off your desk. No payroll. No hidden line items.

Core

You stop guessing.

You get the CFO work. Job costing built against the way you estimate, a 13 week cash forecast, monthly WIP, and a meeting every month that ends in decisions rather than a report.

Your bookkeeper keeps doing the books.

Executive

You stop touching the books.

Everything in Core, and we run the bookkeeping and the controllership as well. Nobody in your office is answering coding questions or chasing a reconciliation at month end.

We do the books. No payroll.

Strategic

Every job shows its margin while it's still running.

Everything in Executive, plus the job costing and WIP platform set up, loaded with your cost codes, and managed for you every month. You never have to learn it.

We do the job costing.

COMMON QUESTIONS

FREQUENTLY ASKED.

No. Billing percent complete is the share of contract value you've billed. Earned value percent complete is the share of physical work the crew has performed. On a front loaded schedule of values, billing can read 40% when the job is only 28% built, and that difference is the overbilling position in your WIP.
The cost to complete is earned value applied forward. If current efficiency is 0.88, meaning 88 cents of value per dollar spent, you apply that to the scope that's left. A job with $200K of remaining estimated cost at 0.88 efficiency will cost $227K to finish, because $200K divided by 0.88 is $227K. A cost to complete built on efficiency beats one built on the original estimate every time.
Yes, though we don't run it as formal analysis with the acronyms attached. Physical percent complete from field data drives the cost to complete, and earned value against actual cost from closed books is the core of the monthly project review. It gets discussed in plain language during job review meetings, and it's the same arithmetic either way.
Three tiers, and which one you are in depends on how much of the work you want off your desk. Core is where you stop guessing: job costing built against the way you estimate, a 13 week cash forecast, monthly WIP, and a monthly meeting that ends in decisions, while your bookkeeper keeps doing the books. Executive is where you stop touching the books, because we run the bookkeeping and the controllership as well. Strategic is where every job shows its margin while it is still running, because the job costing and WIP platform is set up and managed for you. No payroll. No scope gaps.
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WHAT THIS TIES INTO
Josh Luebker, The Construction CFO
Josh Luebker
FRACTIONAL CFO · THE CONSTRUCTION CFO

Former commercial project manager and master electrician: 150+ projects worth $2.1B combined, from $50,000 to $300M. Now fractional CFO to commercial subcontractors.

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Bring one open job with a contract value, a cost to date, and a field percent complete. We will run the earned value comparison in the call and tell you what the finish number looks like.

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