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EARNED VALUECONSTRUCTION EARNED VALUEJOB COSTINGCOST TO COMPLETECFOS $1M–$12MEARNED VALUECONSTRUCTION EARNED VALUEJOB COSTINGCOST TO COMPLETECFOS $1M–$12M
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EARNED VALUE FOR CONSTRUCTION SUBCONTRACTORS — SIMPLIFIED AND PRACTICAL.

QUICK ANSWER

Earned value is not a government contract concept. It is the practice of measuring whether a project is spending money in proportion to the value it is producing. A project 60% complete that has spent 75% of the budget has earned $360K of value while spending $450K. That $90K gap is visible right now — not at closeout. Most subcontractors discover this gap at project close because they track cost without comparing it to physical completion. Earned value closes that gap.

The simplified version — percent complete times contract value compared to actual cost — requires two numbers and produces the same insight as a full earned value analysis. SPM applies this calculation monthly in every cost-to-complete.

BY JOSH LUEBKERPublished: May 2026Updated: May 2026
EARNED VALUE SIMPLIFIED

WHAT EARNED VALUE IS AND WHY IT MATTERS WITHOUT THE COMPLEXITY.

THE CONCEPT

Measuring Progress in Dollars, Not Feelings

Earned value is the practice of measuring project progress in dollars of value earned rather than dollars of cost spent. A project that is 60% physically complete has earned 60% of the contract value regardless of how much has been spent. If the same project has spent 75% of the estimated cost, the project has spent 25% more than it has earned — a cost overrun in progress that will produce a margin loss at completion unless something changes. Earned value makes that overrun visible at 60% complete. Without it, the overrun is visible at closeout.

THE THREE NUMBERS

Planned Value, Earned Value, and Actual Cost

Planned value is what the work performed to date was supposed to cost — the budget for the completed scope. Earned value is the contract value of the work actually completed. Actual cost is what was spent to produce that completed scope. The relationship between these three numbers tells the complete financial story of a project in progress. Earned value above actual cost means the project is running more efficiently than estimated. Actual cost above earned value means the project is running less efficiently. The gap between planned value and earned value indicates whether the project is on schedule.

THE SIMPLIFIED APPLICATION

How Subcontractors Apply Earned Value Without Complexity

For most subcontractors, the simplified version is sufficient: physical percent complete times contract value equals dollars earned. Compare dollars earned to dollars spent. The difference is the over or under budget position. A project that is 65% complete with $390,000 earned (65% of $600K contract) and $430,000 spent has a $40,000 cost overrun in progress. At 35% remaining, the job will need to recover that $40,000 plus deliver the remaining scope at estimated cost to close at break-even. The math takes two minutes. The insight is the same as a full earned value analysis.

HOW TO APPLY IT MONTHLY

EARNED VALUE IN THE COST-TO-COMPLETE — THE PRACTICAL CONSTRUCTION VERSION.

Step 1 — Physical percent complete from field data: Not cost-based. Actual physical completion — units placed, phases completed, milestones achieved — divided by total scope.
Step 2 — Earned value calculation: Physical percent complete times contract value equals dollars earned to date.
Step 3 — Compare to actual cost from closed books: Actual cost from the monthly close vs earned value. The gap is the cost performance index expressed in dollars.
Step 4 — Project the trend forward: If the project is running at 0.88 cost efficiency (earned $390K, spent $443K), apply that efficiency to remaining scope. The projected overrun at completion is calculable from current performance — not from a guess.

The connection to WIP: Earned value is the conceptual foundation of the WIP schedule. The earned-to-date column in the WIP is the earned value calculation. The overbilling/underbilling position is the comparison between billed-to-date and earned-to-date. Understanding earned value makes WIP immediately interpretable rather than a collection of columns that require explanation.

COMMON QUESTIONS

FREQUENTLY ASKED.

No. Billing percent complete is the percentage billed relative to contract value. Earned value percent complete is the percentage of physical work actually performed. On a front-loaded SOV, billing can show 40% billed when the project is only 28% physically complete. The billing percent complete and the earned value percent complete diverge exactly as much as the overbilling position in the WIP schedule.
The cost-to-complete is the forward-looking application of earned value analysis. If current cost efficiency is 0.88 (88 cents of value produced per dollar spent), apply that efficiency to remaining scope to project the final cost. A project with $200K of remaining estimated cost running at 0.88 efficiency will actually cost $200K divided by 0.88 = $227K to complete. The cost-to-complete built on earned value efficiency is more accurate than one built on the original estimate rate.
Yes. Physical percent complete from field data is the foundation of the CFOS cost-to-complete. The comparison of earned value (percent complete times contract value) to actual cost from closed books is the core of the monthly project financial review. It is presented in plain language in the job review meeting — not as a formal earned value analysis, but as the same underlying calculation.
Josh Luebker
Josh Luebker
Fractional CFO · The Construction CFO

Former commercial construction project manager and master electrician. Managed 150+ projects totaling $300M+. Now fractional CFO for commercial subcontractors doing $1M–$12M. About Josh →  |  LinkedIn →

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Josh Luebker, The Construction CFO
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Master electrician and former project manager, 150+ projects and $2.1B+ in commercial work. Now runs the numbers for subcontractors instead of standing on the job site.

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